U.S. corn and wheat stockpiles shrank far more this summer than grain markets thought, the USDA reported on Friday, and corn prices zoomed higher on prospects that heavy demand and drought-decimated crops will keep markets tight.
Corn futures surged nearly 6 percent and hit the daily limit on the Chicago Board of Trade after the USDA reported corn stocks on Sept. 1 were below 1 billion bushels for the first time in eight years. Wheat futures rose more than 5 percent and briefly topped $9 a bushel.
"A sub-1 billion number is enough to get the market nervous," said Sterling Smith, futures specialist for Citigroup in Chicago, referring to corn. Smith said the surge in corn prices pulled up wheat and soybean prices too.
The worst U.S. drought in half a century has decimated crops, and tight supplies should keep commodity prices at record levels and boost prices at the grocery store.
USDA's survey of farmers and warehouses showed 988 million bushels of corn on hand -- 11 percent less than expected -- on Sept. 1. That date is the start of the corn marketing year and the traditional low point for supplies, as it comes before this year's harvest gets added to the stockpiles.
Wheat stocks of 2.1 billion bushels were 7 percent smaller than traders expected. Soybean stocks were much larger than expected. It was the third straight year that the USDA's September inventory report surprised traders. Many analysts had expected stockpiles to rise because the corn harvest started early this fall.
But supplies shrank. Even with corn prices soaring to $8 per bushel earlier this year, demand remained heavy from exporters, livestock farmers, ethanol plants and food makers.
Corn futures were limit up -- at the daily ceiling -- at $7.56-1/2 a bushel in Chicago at midday. "Synthetic" bids indicated corn was worth $7.59 a bushel. Wheat consumption was up by 27 percent for June-August compared to one year ago, USDA said.
Jason Kitt of The Linn Group said livestock producers who predominantly use corn in feed rations are increasingly turning to wheat. The number "implies pretty good wheat feeding during the quarter, which is supportive -- wheat is corn again," Kitt said.
Livestock feeders use wheat as feed when corn is scarce and expensive. While U.S. corn production has declined for three years in a row, growers harvested 2.27 billion bushels of wheat this year, the largest crop in eight years. Wheat futures sold for $8.98 a bushel, up 5 percent, at midday on Friday.
Don Roose, president of U.S. Commodities, said corn consumption for June-August was larger than expected, "so we're going to hear talk that we're going to have to do a better job of rationing in the feed sector. That's not easy to do."