This market update is a PorkNetwork weekly column reporting trends in weaner pig prices and swine facility availability.  All information contained in this update is for the week ended September 25, 2015.

Looking at hog sales in April 2016 using April 2016 futures the weaner breakeven was $38.14, down $1.57 for the week. Feed costs were up $1.24 per head.  April futures decreased $0.25 for the week. Breakeven prices are based on closing futures prices on September 25, 2015. The breakeven price is the estimated maximum you could pay for a weaner pig and breakeven when selling the finished hog.

For the Week Ended

9/25/2015

Weekly Change

Weaner pig breakeven

$38.14

($1.57)

Margin over variable costs

$59.98

($1.57)

Pig purchase month

Oct, 2015

Oct, 2015

Live hog sale month

Apr, 2016

Apr, 2016

Lean hog futures

$71.85

($0.25)

Lean hog basis/cwt

($4.04)

$0.10

Weighted average sbm futures

$306.86

$0.64

Weighted average sbm basis

($3.00)

$0.00

Weighted average corn futures

$3.98

$0.12

Weighted average corn basis

($0.31)

$0.00

Nursery cost/space/yr

$35.00

$0.00

Finisher cost/space/yr

$40.00

$0.00

Feed costs per head

$75.10

$1.24

Assumed carcass weight

205

$0.00

Note that the weaner pig profitability calculations provide weekly insight into the relative value of pigs based on assumptions that may not be reflective of your individual situation. In addition, these calculations don’t take into account market supply and demand dynamics for weaner pigs and space availability.

From the National Direct Delivered Feeder Pig Report

Cash traded weaner pig volume was above average this week with 33,265 head being reported which is 112 percent of the 52 week average. Cash prices were $31.32 down $0.37 from a week ago. The low to high range was $27.00 to $36.00. Formula priced weaners were up $1.49 this week at $38.78.

Cash traded feeder pig reported volume was above average with 22,066 head reported. Cash feeder pig reported prices were $43.23 up $2.18 per head from last week.

Graph 1 shows the seasonal trends of the cash weaner pig market.

Graph 2 shows the cash weaner price and cash feeder price on a weekly basis through September 25th.

Graph 3 shows the estimated weaner pig profit by comparing the weaner pig cash price to the weaner breakeven. The profit potential decreased $1.20 this week to $6.82 per head.

Casey Westphalen is general manager of NutriQuest Business Solutions, a division of NutriQuest.  NutriQuest Business Solutions is a team of leading business and financial experts that bring years of unparalleled experience in the livestock, grain, poultry and financial industries. At NutriQuest our success comes from helping producers realize improved profitability and sustainability through innovation driven by a relentless focus on helping producers succeed. For more information please visit our website at www.nutriquest.com or email casey@nutriquest.com.